Merge pull request #149 from PyPSA/dh-share

Include today's district heating share for myopic optimisation
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Fabian Neumann 2021-10-02 10:34:07 +02:00 committed by GitHub
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7 changed files with 127 additions and 30 deletions

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@ -159,6 +159,7 @@ rule build_energy_totals:
co2="data/eea/UNFCCC_v23.csv",
swiss="data/switzerland-sfoe/switzerland-new_format.csv",
idees="data/jrc-idees-2015",
district_heat_share='data/district_heat_share.csv',
eurostat=input_eurostat
output:
energy_name='resources/energy_totals.csv',

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@ -141,8 +141,16 @@ existing_capacities:
sector:
central: true
central_fraction: 0.6
district_heating:
potential: 0.6 # maximum fraction of urban demand which can be supplied by district heating
# increase of today's district heating demand to potential maximum district heating share
# progress = 0 means today's district heating share, progress = 1 means maximum fraction of urban demand is supplied by district heating
progress:
2020: 0.0
2030: 0.3
2040: 0.6
2050: 1.0
district_heating_loss: 0.15
bev_dsm_restriction_value: 0.75 #Set to 0 for no restriction on BEV DSM
bev_dsm_restriction_time: 7 #Time at which SOC of BEV has to be dsm_restriction_value
transport_heating_deadband_upper: 20.
@ -151,7 +159,6 @@ sector:
ICE_upper_degree_factor: 1.6
EV_lower_degree_factor: 0.98
EV_upper_degree_factor: 0.63
district_heating_loss: 0.15
bev_dsm: true #turns on EV battery
bev_availability: 0.5 #How many cars do smart charging
bev_energy: 0.05 #average battery size in MWh

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@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
country,share to satisfy heat demand (residential) in percent,capacity[MWth]
AT,14,11200
BG,16,6162
BA,8,
HR,6.3,2221
CZ,40,
DK,65,
FI,38,23390
FR,5,
DE,13.8,
HU,7.92875588637399,8549
IS,90,8079000
IE,0.8,
IT,3,8727
LV,73,2254
LT,56,
MK,23.7745607009008,636
NO,4,3400
PL,42,54912
PT,0.070754716981132,34
RS,25,5821
SI,8.86,1739
ES,0.251589260787732,1273
SE,50.4,
UK,2,
BY,70,
EE,52,5406
KO,3,207
RO,23,9962
SK,54,15000
NL,4,9800
CH,4,2792
AL,0,
ME,0,
1 country share to satisfy heat demand (residential) in percent capacity[MWth]
2 AT 14 11200
3 BG 16 6162
4 BA 8
5 HR 6.3 2221
6 CZ 40
7 DK 65
8 FI 38 23390
9 FR 5
10 DE 13.8
11 HU 7.92875588637399 8549
12 IS 90 8079000
13 IE 0.8
14 IT 3 8727
15 LV 73 2254
16 LT 56
17 MK 23.7745607009008 636
18 NO 4 3400
19 PL 42 54912
20 PT 0.070754716981132 34
21 RS 25 5821
22 SI 8.86 1739
23 ES 0.251589260787732 1273
24 SE 50.4
25 UK 2
26 BY 70
27 EE 52 5406
28 KO 3 207
29 RO 23 9962
30 SK 54 15000
31 NL 4 9800
32 CH 4 2792
33 AL 0
34 ME 0

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@ -25,3 +25,6 @@ Comparative level investment,comparative_level_investment.csv,Eurostat,https://e
Electricity taxes,electricity_taxes_eu.csv,Eurostat,https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=nrg_pc_204&lang=en
Building topologies and corresponding standard values,tabula-calculator-calcsetbuilding.csv,unknown,https://episcope.eu/fileadmin/tabula/public/calc/tabula-calculator.xlsx
Retrofitting thermal envelope costs for Germany,retro_cost_germany.csv,unkown,https://www.iwu.de/forschung/handlungslogiken/kosten-energierelevanter-bau-und-anlagenteile-bei-modernisierung/
District heating most countries,jrc-idees-2015/,CC BY 4.0,https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/potencia/jrc-idees,,
District heating missing countries,district_heat_share.csv,unkown,https://www.euroheat.org/knowledge-hub/country-profiles,,

Can't render this file because it has a wrong number of fields in line 28.

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@ -88,6 +88,7 @@ Future release
* Compatibility with ``xarray`` version 0.19.
* Separate basic chemicals into HVC, chlorine, methanol and ammonia [`#166 <https://github.com/PyPSA/PyPSA-Eur-Sec/pull/166>`_].
* Add option to specify reuse, primary production, and mechanical and chemical recycling fraction of platics [`#166 <https://github.com/PyPSA/PyPSA-Eur-Sec/pull/166>`_].
* Include today's district heating shares in myopic optimisation and add option to specify exogenous path for district heating share increase under ``sector: district_heating:`` [`#149 <https://github.com/PyPSA/PyPSA-Eur-Sec/pull/149>`_].
PyPSA-Eur-Sec 0.5.0 (21st May 2021)
===================================

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@ -212,6 +212,12 @@ def idees_per_country(ct, year):
assert df.index[47] == "Electricity"
ct_totals["electricity residential"] = df[47]
assert df.index[46] == "Derived heat"
ct_totals["Derived heat residential"] = df[46]
assert df.index[50] == 'Thermal uses'
ct_totals["thermal uses residential"] = df[50]
# services
df = pd.read_excel(fn_services, "SER_hh_fec", index_col=0)[year]
@ -239,6 +245,12 @@ def idees_per_country(ct, year):
assert df.index[50] == "Electricity"
ct_totals["electricity services"] = df[50]
assert df.index[49] == "Derived heat"
ct_totals["derived heat services"] = df[49]
assert df.index[53] == 'Thermal uses'
ct_totals["thermal uses services"] = df[53]
# transport
df = pd.read_excel(fn_transport, "TrRoad_ene", index_col=0)[year]
@ -342,6 +354,7 @@ def build_idees(countries, year):
with mp.Pool(processes=nprocesses) as pool:
totals_list = list(tqdm(pool.imap(func, countries), **tqdm_kwargs))
totals = pd.concat(totals_list, axis=1)
# convert ktoe to TWh
@ -351,6 +364,13 @@ def build_idees(countries, year):
# convert TWh/100km to kWh/km
totals.loc["passenger car efficiency"] *= 10
# district heating share
district_heat = totals.loc[["derived heat residential",
"derived heat services"]].sum()
total_heat = totals.loc[["thermal uses residential",
"thermal uses services"]].sum()
totals.loc["district heat share"] = district_heat.div(total_heat)
return totals.T
@ -502,6 +522,14 @@ def build_energy_totals(countries, eurostat, swiss, idees):
ratio = df.at["BA", "total residential"] / df.at["RS", "total residential"]
df.loc['BA', missing] = ratio * df.loc["RS", missing]
# Missing district heating share
dh_share = pd.read_csv(snakemake.input.district_heat_share,
index_col=0, usecols=[0, 1])
# make conservative assumption and take minimum from both data sets
df["district heat share"] = (pd.concat([df["district heat share"],
dh_share.reindex(index=df.index)/100],
axis=1).min(axis=1))
return df

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@ -489,8 +489,7 @@ def add_dac(n, costs):
efficiency3 = -(costs.at['direct air capture', 'heat-input'] - costs.at['direct air capture', 'compression-heat-output'])
n.madd("Link",
locations,
suffix=" DAC",
heat_buses.str.replace(" heat", " DAC"),
bus0="co2 atmosphere",
bus1=spatial.co2.df.loc[locations, "nodes"].values,
bus2=locations.values,
@ -636,6 +635,8 @@ def prepare_data(n):
nodal_energy_totals = energy_totals.loc[pop_layout.ct].fillna(0.)
nodal_energy_totals.index = pop_layout.index
# district heat share not weighted by population
district_heat_share = nodal_energy_totals["district heat share"].round(2)
nodal_energy_totals = nodal_energy_totals.multiply(pop_layout.fraction, axis=0)
# copy forward the daily average heat demand into each hour, so it can be multipled by the intraday profile
@ -758,7 +759,7 @@ def prepare_data(n):
)
return nodal_energy_totals, heat_demand, ashp_cop, gshp_cop, solar_thermal, transport, avail_profile, dsm_profile, nodal_transport_data
return nodal_energy_totals, heat_demand, ashp_cop, gshp_cop, solar_thermal, transport, avail_profile, dsm_profile, nodal_transport_data, district_heat_share
# TODO checkout PyPSA-Eur script
@ -1336,12 +1337,11 @@ def add_heat(n, costs):
sectors = ["residential", "services"]
nodes = create_nodes_for_heat_sector()
nodes, dist_fraction, urban_fraction = create_nodes_for_heat_sector()
#NB: must add costs of central heating afterwards (EUR 400 / kWpeak, 50a, 1% FOM from Fraunhofer ISE)
urban_fraction = options['central_fraction'] * pop_layout["urban"] / pop_layout[["urban", "rural"]].sum(axis=1)
# exogenously reduce space heat demand
if options["reduce_space_heat_exogenously"]:
dE = get(options["reduce_space_heat_exogenously_factor"], investment_year)
@ -1372,15 +1372,22 @@ def add_heat(n, costs):
## Add heat load
for sector in sectors:
# heat demand weighting
if "rural" in name:
factor = 1 - urban_fraction[nodes[name]]
elif "urban" in name:
factor = urban_fraction[nodes[name]]
elif "urban central" in name:
factor = dist_fraction[nodes[name]]
elif "urban decentral" in name:
factor = urban_fraction[nodes[name]] - \
dist_fraction[nodes[name]]
else:
raise NotImplementedError(f" {name} not in " f"heat systems: {heat_systems}")
if sector in name:
heat_load = heat_demand[[sector + " water",sector + " space"]].groupby(level=1,axis=1).sum()[nodes[name]].multiply(factor)
if name == "urban central":
heat_load = heat_demand.groupby(level=1,axis=1).sum()[nodes[name]].multiply(urban_fraction[nodes[name]] * (1 + options['district_heating_loss']))
heat_load = heat_demand.groupby(level=1,axis=1).sum()[nodes[name]].multiply(factor * (1 + options['district_heating']['district_heating_loss']))
n.madd("Load",
nodes[name],
@ -1661,23 +1668,39 @@ def create_nodes_for_heat_sector():
# urban are areas with high heating density
# urban can be split into district heating (central) and individual heating (decentral)
ct_urban = pop_layout.urban.groupby(pop_layout.ct).sum()
# distribution of urban population within a country
pop_layout["urban_ct_fraction"] = pop_layout.urban / pop_layout.ct.map(ct_urban.get)
sectors = ["residential", "services"]
nodes = {}
urban_fraction = pop_layout.urban / pop_layout[["rural", "urban"]].sum(axis=1)
for sector in sectors:
nodes[sector + " rural"] = pop_layout.index
if options["central"]:
# TODO: this looks hardcoded, move to config
urban_decentral_ct = pd.Index(["ES", "GR", "PT", "IT", "BG"])
nodes[sector + " urban decentral"] = pop_layout.index[pop_layout.ct.isin(urban_decentral_ct)]
else:
nodes[sector + " urban decentral"] = pop_layout.index
# for central nodes, residential and services are aggregated
nodes["urban central"] = pop_layout.index.symmetric_difference(nodes["residential urban decentral"])
# maximum potential of urban demand covered by district heating
central_fraction = options['district_heating']["potential"]
# district heating share at each node
dist_fraction_node = district_heat_share * pop_layout["urban_ct_fraction"] / pop_layout["fraction"]
nodes["urban central"] = dist_fraction_node.index
# if district heating share larger than urban fraction -> set urban
# fraction to district heating share
urban_fraction = pd.concat([urban_fraction, dist_fraction_node],
axis=1).max(axis=1)
# difference of max potential and today's share of district heating
diff = (urban_fraction * central_fraction) - dist_fraction_node
progress = get(options["district_heating"]["potential"], investment_year)
dist_fraction_node += diff * progress
print(
"The current district heating share compared to the maximum",
f"possible is increased by a progress factor of\n{progress}",
f"resulting in a district heating share of\n{dist_fraction_node}"
)
return nodes
return nodes, dist_fraction_node, urban_fraction
def add_biomass(n, costs):
@ -1993,7 +2016,7 @@ def add_industry(n, costs):
if options["oil_boilers"]:
nodes_heat = create_nodes_for_heat_sector()
nodes_heat = create_nodes_for_heat_sector()[0]
for name in ["residential rural", "services rural", "residential urban decentral", "services urban decentral"]:
@ -2191,18 +2214,18 @@ def limit_individual_line_extension(n, maxext):
hvdc = n.links.index[n.links.carrier == 'DC']
n.links.loc[hvdc, 'p_nom_max'] = n.links.loc[hvdc, 'p_nom'] + maxext
#%%
if __name__ == "__main__":
if 'snakemake' not in globals():
from helper import mock_snakemake
snakemake = mock_snakemake(
'prepare_sector_network',
simpl='',
clusters="45",
opts="",
clusters="37",
lv=1.0,
opts='',
sector_opts='Co2L0-168H-T-H-B-I-solar3-dist1',
planning_horizons="2030",
planning_horizons="2020",
)
logging.basicConfig(level=snakemake.config['logging_level'])
@ -2254,10 +2277,10 @@ if __name__ == "__main__":
if o == "biomasstransport":
options["biomass_transport"] = True
nodal_energy_totals, heat_demand, ashp_cop, gshp_cop, solar_thermal, transport, avail_profile, dsm_profile, nodal_transport_data = prepare_data(n)
nodal_energy_totals, heat_demand, ashp_cop, gshp_cop, solar_thermal, transport, avail_profile, dsm_profile, nodal_transport_data, district_heat_share = prepare_data(n)
if "nodistrict" in opts:
options["central"] = False
options["district_heating"]["progress"] = 0.0
if "T" in opts:
add_land_transport(n, costs)