build_biomass_potentials: link to planning_horizons wildcard, interpolate missing years

doc/release_notes.rst

@@ -20,6 +20,10 @@ Upcoming Release
 
 * Files extracted from sector-coupled data bundle have been moved from ``data/`` to ``data/sector-bundle``.
 
+* It is now possible to specify years for biomass potentials which do not exist
+  in the JRC-ENSPRESO database, e.g. 2037. These are linearly interpolated.
+
+* In pathway mode, the biomass potential is linked to the investment year.
 
 **Bugs and Compatibility**
 

rules/build_sector.smk

@@ -280,15 +280,15 @@ rule build_biomass_potentials:
         country_shapes=RESOURCES + "country_shapes.geojson",
     output:
         biomass_potentials_all=RESOURCES
-        + "biomass_potentials_all_s{simpl}_{clusters}.csv",
-        biomass_potentials=RESOURCES + "biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}.csv",
+        + "biomass_potentials_all_s{simpl}_{clusters}_{planning_horizons}.csv",
+        biomass_potentials=RESOURCES + "biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}_{planning_horizons}.csv",
     threads: 1
     resources:
         mem_mb=1000,
     log:
-        LOGS + "build_biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}.log",
+        LOGS + "build_biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}_{planning_horizons}.log",
     benchmark:
-        BENCHMARKS + "build_biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}"
+        BENCHMARKS + "build_biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}_{planning_horizons}"
     conda:
         "../envs/environment.yaml"
     script:
@@ -735,7 +735,9 @@ rule prepare_sector_network:
         dsm_profile=RESOURCES + "dsm_profile_s{simpl}_{clusters}.csv",
         co2_totals_name=RESOURCES + "co2_totals.csv",
         co2="data/bundle-sector/eea/UNFCCC_v23.csv",
-        biomass_potentials=RESOURCES + "biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}.csv",
+        biomass_potentials=RESOURCES + "biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}_" + "{}.csv".format(config["biomass"]["year"])
+        if config["foresight"] == "overnight"
+        else RESOURCES + "biomass_potentials_s{simpl}_{clusters}_{planning_horizons}.csv",
         heat_profile="data/heat_load_profile_BDEW.csv",
         costs="data/costs_{}.csv".format(config["costs"]["year"])
         if config["foresight"] == "overnight"

scripts/build_biomass_potentials.py

@@ -7,9 +7,15 @@ Compute biogas and solid biomass potentials for each clustered model region
 using data from JRC ENSPRESO.
 """
 
+import logging
+
+logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
 import geopandas as gpd
+import numpy as np
 import pandas as pd
 
+AVAILABLE_BIOMASS_YEARS = [2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050]
+
 
 def build_nuts_population_data(year=2013):
     pop = pd.read_csv(
@@ -208,12 +214,40 @@ if __name__ == "__main__":
     if "snakemake" not in globals():
         from _helpers import mock_snakemake
 
-        snakemake = mock_snakemake("build_biomass_potentials", simpl="", clusters="5")
+        snakemake = mock_snakemake(
+            "build_biomass_potentials",
+            simpl="",
+            clusters="5",
+            planning_horizons=2050,
+        )
 
+    overnight = snakemake.config["foresight"] == "overnight"
     params = snakemake.params.biomass
-    year = params["year"]
+    investment_year = int(snakemake.wildcards.planning_horizons)
+    year = params["year"] if overnight else investment_year
     scenario = params["scenario"]
 
+    if year > 2050:
+        logger.info("No biomass potentials for years after 2050, using 2050.")
+        max_year = max(AVAILABLE_BIOMASS_YEARS)
+        enspreso = enspreso_biomass_potentials(max_year, scenario)
+
+    elif year not in AVAILABLE_BIOMASS_YEARS:
+        before = int(np.floor(year / 10) * 10)
+        after = int(np.ceil(year / 10) * 10)
+        logger.info(
+            f"No biomass potentials for {year}, interpolating linearly between {before} and {after}."
+        )
+
+        enspreso_before = enspreso_biomass_potentials(before, scenario)
+        enspreso_after = enspreso_biomass_potentials(after, scenario)
+
+        fraction = (year - before) / (after - before)
+
+        enspreso = enspreso_before + fraction * (enspreso_after - enspreso_before)
+
+    else:
+        logger.info(f"Using biomass potentials for {year}.")
         enspreso = enspreso_biomass_potentials(year, scenario)
 
     enspreso = disaggregate_nuts0(enspreso)